The Electoral College on Monday voted for Donald J. Trump to win the presidency. Seven electors, the most ever, voted for someone other than their party’s nominee.
In Washington, a state where Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont had strong support in the Democratic primary against Hillary Clinton, three of the state’s 12 electoral votes went to Colin L. Powell, the Republican former secretary of state. One more elector voted for Faith Spotted Eagle, a Native American leader. Another Democratic elector in Hawaii voted for Mr. Sanders.
Two Texas electors voted for different Republican politicians: Gov. John Kasich of Ohio and former Texas congressman Ron Paul.
In addition, three Democratic electors, in Colorado, Maine and Minnesota, initially declined to vote for Mrs. Clinton. Two were replaced by an alternate, and one ended up changing his vote.
Protest Votes in the Electoral College
Electors are not required by the Constitution to vote for a particular candidate. Some states and parties require their electors to pledge to vote for a candidate and may fine or replace electors who break their pledge.
It is rare for more than one elector to vote against the party’s pledged candidate, but it has happened on a few occasions.
In 1808, six New York electors from the Democratic-Republican Party refused to vote for James Madison and instead voted for the party’s vice-presidential candidate, George Clinton.
The last time an elector voted for a candidate from another party was in 1972, when a Republican from Virginia voted for the Libertarian candidate, John Hospers, instead of the eventual winner, Richard M. Nixon. A single elector has refused to vote for the party’s presidential candidate in 11 elections.
New survey suggests GOP voters looking for populist leadership to carry the party into the future.
A majority of Republicans trust Donald Trump more than House Speaker Paul Ryan to lead the party, according to an NBC/Survey Monkey poll released Tuesday.
The poll showed that 63 percent of Republican respondents trusted Trump’s leadership over Ryan’s, while 34 percent preferred to place their trust in Ryan over Trump. When Democrats were asked the same question, 84 percent said they trusted Ryan more as a leader — while just 4 percent picked Trump.
When Trump supporters were isolated as a separate group and asked whose leadership they trusted more for the GOP, 72 percent chose Trump, while just 25 percent chose Ryan. When the supporters for Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, and Jill Stein were separated, 2 percent, 13 percent, and 12 percent picked Trump over Ryan, respectively.
This poll comes amid internal Republican Party upheaval over which wing of the GOP should take the helm after the 2016 election.
Trump and Ryan have engaged in several contentious spats — most notably when the House speaker announced after the release of the 11 year-old “Access Hollywood” tape that he would no longer campaign with Trump and instead would focus his efforts on re-electing and maintaining a Republican Congress.
At the time, Trump lambasted Ryan in a barrage of tweets and in verbal remarks.
The GOP nominee offered a more conciliatory message during a rally in Florida Sunday.
“Go out and vote — and that includes helping me re-elect Republicans all over the place,” Trump urged his supporters, saying that a “Republican House and Senate” was key to implementing his agenda as president.
“I hope they help me too! It’d be nice if they help us too, right?” Trump couldn’t help adding.
The poll featured the responses of 32,225 likely voters and was issued between Oct. 17-23.
For all those sipping a cocktail right now in a Manhattan skyscraper, toasting the swift demise of one Donald J. Trump, here’s a fly in your pretentious dirty martini: There are signs that the belligerent billionaire may be doing significantly better in the presidential race than many polls indicate.
New voter registration is surging in several swing states and appears to be lopsided in favor of the Republican Party. Moreover, a recent analysis of absentee ballots in Florida reveals an unprecedented number of low-propensity voters registered this year — presumably to support the outsider candidate (hint: It’s not Hillary Clinton).
“Nobody’s been polling these people, nobody’s been marketing to these people.”
“Republicans have continued gaining ground in recent months in voter registration in Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Iowa,” Politico reported last week. In Pennsylvania, more than 85,000 former Democrats have switched to the Republican Party this year. This is nearly three times the number of those who made the opposite switch.
In North Carolina, Politico reported, “Democrats’ voter registration advantage shrunk by 44,000 between June 2015 and May 2016” and their “advantage had dwindled to 641,000” as of Aug. 13. In Florida, Republicans have added nearly 70,000 voters and the Democrats’ registration advantage has more than halved since 2012.
- 855,000 ballots cast by mail by Aug. 25
- Over 25% from voters who didn’t vote in the last 4 elections
- 20% from voters who voted in 1 of the last 4 elections
- New primary voters include 90,000 Republicans
Data from Florida also suggests this election could see an unprecedented turnout of first-time or second-time voters. In examining absentee ballots for the upcoming Florida Senate primary election, the Florida Chamber of Commerce discovered “a huge spike in mail voting by people who rarely vote in primary elections,” the Tampa Bay Times reported.
According to the report, nearly half of the mail ballots returned for the primary election are from those who voted in one or fewer of the last four primary elections. “We’re in unprecedented, uncharted territory,” said Florida Chamber President and CEO Mark Wilson. “Nobody’s been polling these people, nobody’s been marketing to these people.”
No one has been polling these people — and these people may very well decide the election. This is one of the reasons why most of the polls which have shown Trump losing in a landslide are not to be trusted — most polling companies reach out to those who are historically politically active, not those who are historically apathetic.
Furthermore, many of the polls which paint the most depressing picture for the Trump campaign are heavily weighted toward registered Republicans and Democrats, when in reality most registered American voters are independent — and independent voters appear to lean Trump. A recent Emerson poll for example found that Trump leads independents in Ohio by 47 percent to 30 percent, 39 percent to 38 percent in Michigan, and 43 percent to 37 percent in Pennsylvania. Some studies have also indicated that Trump consistently performs better in anonymous, online polls, suggesting that he has stronger support than many traditional polls seem to indicate.
“We saw the commentariat and we saw the polling industry doing everything they could to demoralize our campaign,” Brexit proponent Nigel Farage told a crowd of jubilant Trump supporters last week. They may very well be doing the same thing in the U.S. But even within polling industry weighted in Clinton’s favor, there are signs she’s slipping. A new Monmouth poll released Monday showed Clinton’s lead sinking to only 7 points over Trump.
“This is huge,” said Marian Johnson, an expert on Florida politics and the senior vice president of political strategy for the Florida Chamber of Commerce, of the Florida absentee ballot revelations.
“I can envision election night when the votes are counted that certain people win that nobody thought had a chance, and that being attributed to this trend.” Right now nobody — well, nobody in the commentariat, anyway — thinks Trump has a chance. They could be wrong.
They’re not exactly the Nixon era “silent majority,” but both Republican and Democratic pollsters claim that there is a secret vote for Donald Trump showing up in some polls.
The Trump campaign on Sunday stated flatly there is a “big hidden Trump vote” in the nation.
And during the recent Democratic convention, a top pollster agreed, saying there is a “secret Trump vote.”
Longtime Republican pollster and Trump advisor Kellyanne Conway explained on the Today show that the hidden vote is seen when anonymous online polls are compared to phone call interview polls where people have to be more public in stating who they support.
For example, the new Reuters poll had Trump and Hillary Clinton just three points apart, where others that are phone survey based out Sunday showed a greater gap.
“The Reuters poll, which is an online poll, where Donald Trump is three points behind Hillary Clinton nationally, and I think that the important point to note there is that when you have online polls as opposed to telephone polls, Mr. Trump tends to do better, and that’s because the online polls approximate the ballot box, where you’re issuing your vote privately,” she said.
“We think there’s a big hidden Trump vote in this country,” said Conway, who added that Trump internal polls project “tighter” results in battleground states.
Her comments echoed those from Democratic pollster Celinda Lake who during the Democratic convention said that her side sees a secret Trump vote among white males.
“I worry that there is a bit of a secret Trump vote,” said the influential pollster at an event attended by Secrets.
She has proof revealed in polls that find more white male support when live people are doing the interviewing and less support for Clinton in anonymous online surveys.
“The pattern is in the online surveys, even if you control for demographics, Trump does three to nine points better than in telephone surveys. So it really does suggest that there is a secret vote for Donald Trump,” said Lake.